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| #624874 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 17.Aug.2013) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013 1500 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 35.7W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 35.7W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 35.3W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.5N 37.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.1N 39.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.8N 41.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.6N 43.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.0N 47.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 28.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 35.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
