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#627082 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 25.Aug.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062013 400 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF GULF COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 95.5W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO TAMPICO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD CROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE LANDFALL...AND WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN OVER VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS ...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN A FEW HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |