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| #627160 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 25.Aug.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FERNAND ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062013 1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013 ...FERNAND CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS LASHING VERACRUZ HARBOR... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 96.2W ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNAND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. FERNAND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE VERACRUZ METROPOLITAN AREA TONIGHT... AND MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND OBSERVING STATIONS IN VERACRUZ MEXICO INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE FERNAND MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. TWO MEXICAN COASTAL WEATHER OBSERVING SITES IN VERACRUZ HARBOR RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH...85 KM/H WITH GUSTS UP TO 72 MPH...117 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...BASED ON NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN OVER VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN |
