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| #627209 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 26.Aug.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FERNAND ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062013 400 AM CDT MON AUG 26 2013 ...FERNAND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... ...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 96.9W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNAND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST. FERNAND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER LAND...AND FERNAND SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN OVER VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
