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| #627242 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:53 AM 26.Aug.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FERNAND INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062013 700 AM CDT MON AUG 26 2013 ...FERNAND BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO EASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 97.2W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM NW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNAND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.2 WEST. FERNAND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER LAND...AND FERNAND SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN OVER VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
