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| #6279 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 AM 28.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072004 0900Z SAT AUG 28 2004 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 78.4W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 78.4W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 78.2W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 31.3N 78.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 31.5N 79.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 32.2N 79.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.0N 80.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 34.6N 77.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 39.0N 70.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 42.5N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 78.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA |
