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| #630925 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:17 PM 10.Sep.2013) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013 130 PM AST TUE SEP 10 2013 ...GABRIELLE STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED... SUMMARY OF 130 PM AST...1730 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.9N 64.8W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 130 PM AST...1730 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST. GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OR NEAR BERMUDA TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN BERMUDA BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 7 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ON BERMUDA. IN ADDITION...ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY THIS AFTERNOON. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
