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#631229 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 11.Sep.2013) TCMAT4 HURRICANE HUMBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092013 2100 UTC WED SEP 11 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 29.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 29.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 29.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.5N 29.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.3N 29.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 22.8N 30.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 24.0N 32.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 24.5N 36.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 25.5N 41.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 27.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 29.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |