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| #6345 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 28.Aug.2004) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072004 2100Z SAT AUG 28 2004 AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATER TONIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO LITTLE RIVER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST NORTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 78.9W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N 78.9W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 78.7W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 31.8N 79.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 32.7N 79.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 33.7N 79.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 35SW 35NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 34.9N 78.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 37.5N 74.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 41.0N 66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 43.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N 78.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
