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#635384 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 29.Sep.2013)
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112013
500 PM AST SUN SEP 29 2013

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.2N 47.6W
ABOUT 1165 MI...1875 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1090 MI...1750 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...
AND THE MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SLOW AND ERRATIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY MONDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH