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#635811 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 02.Oct.2013) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112013 1100 AM AST WED OCT 02 2013 ...JERRY NEARLY STATIONARY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.2N 43.9W ABOUT 1185 MI...1910 KM WSW OF THE AZORES ABOUT 1275 MI...2055 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.9 WEST. JERRY IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND EAST- NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |