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| #636716 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 AM 06.Oct.2013) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122013 400 AM CDT SUN OCT 06 2013 ...KAREN EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.3N 91.7W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM WSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AT WEATHER.GOV. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA LATER TODAY...MOVE JUST SOUTH OF THE ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KAREN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...KAREN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...MAINLY NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
