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| #6428 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 29.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2004 ...FRANCES ON TRACK...HEADING WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST OR ABOUT 590 MILES... 950 KM... EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND FRANCES COULD REACH NEAR CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY LATER TODAY. AN AIRFORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER WILL BE INVESTIGATING THE SYSTEM LATER THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...18.6 N... 54.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN |
