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#64306 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:34 PM 02.Jan.2006) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302005 0300Z TUE JAN 03 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 41.2W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 20SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 120SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 41.2W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 41.0W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.4N 41.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.3N 42.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 23.2N 43.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N 45.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N 46.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 41.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |