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#64557 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:34 AM 04.Jan.2006) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM ZETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL302005 1500Z WED JAN 04 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 44.0W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 25SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 120SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 44.0W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 43.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N 44.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 24.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.0N 54.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 44.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |