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| #646034 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:41 AM 18.Nov.2013) TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1500 UTC MON NOV 18 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.6W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 0SE 90SW 240NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 400SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.6W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 53.3W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.2N 54.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 0SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 100SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.3N 54.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.6N 52.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.6N 48.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 42.8N 39.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 100SW 100NW. 34 KT... 60NE 200SE 250SW 300NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 50.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 55.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 53.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
