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| #646244 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:44 AM 19.Nov.2013) TCPAT4 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1100 AM AST TUE NOV 19 2013 ...MELISSA STILL MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.9N 54.6W ABOUT 595 MI...960 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.6 WEST. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED...AND MELISSA IS ANTICIPATED TO TRANSITION TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
