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| #646245 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:44 AM 19.Nov.2013) TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1500 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 54.6W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......240NE 170SE 170SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 600SE 600SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 54.6W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.9N 52.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...240NE 170SE 170SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 36.6N 48.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 200SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N 43.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 42.2N 37.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 46.5N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 53.2N 26.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 54.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
