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#646348 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:45 PM 19.Nov.2013) TCPAT4 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013 1100 PM AST TUE NOV 19 2013 ...MELISSA LOSING STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.6N 52.4W ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM E OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.4 WEST. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... MELISSA COULD STILL TRANSITION INTO A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MELISSA IS EXPECTED BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THURSDAY. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES...390 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |