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| #6485 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:34 PM 29.Aug.2004) TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM GASTON DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004 GASTON MADE LANDFALL JUST WEST OF MCCLELLANVILLE SOUTH CAROLINA AROUND 14Z. WSR-88D VELOCITY DATA INDICATED THAT IT WAS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AT LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WOULD VERY LIKELY HAVE BECOME A HURRICANE IF IT HAD A FEW MORE HOURS OVER WATER. THE STORM SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN NOW THAT THE CENTER IS INLAND...BUT IT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO. INITIAL MOTION IS NORTH AT 7 KT. A GRADUAL BEND TO THE RIGHT...WITH ACCELERATION...IS FORECAST AS GASTON BECOMES INFLUENCED BY THE FLOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF THE GREAT LAKES. BY 72 HOURS GASTON SHOULD HAVE LOST TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND IT IS EXPECTED BE ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM SHORTLY THEREAFTER. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 33.2N 79.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 30/0000Z 34.3N 79.5W 40 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 30/1200Z 35.9N 78.8W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 31/0000Z 37.7N 77.2W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 31/1200Z 39.8N 74.0W 30 KT...OVER WATER 72HR VT 01/1200Z 44.5N 64.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 02/1200Z...ABSORBED INTO FRONTAL SYSTEM |
