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| #6640 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 30.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST MON AUG 30 2004 ...POWERFUL HURRICANE FRANCES CONTINUES WESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD ISLANDS BY THEIR GOVERNMENTS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN... ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS AND SABA. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST MARTIN AND ST BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE ISLANDS LATER TODAY. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR VIEQUES IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH AND NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS INCLUDING ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE ISLAND OF CULEBRA. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.7 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES... 480 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE FRANCES THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...19.3 N... 58.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER PASCH |
