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| #6666 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:48 PM 30.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004 ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE FRANCES CONTINUES WESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD ISLANDS BY THEIR GOVERNMENTS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN... ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS AND SABA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ST MARTIN AND ST BARTHELEMY. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE WILL LIKELY UPGRADE THIS WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH AND NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS INCLUDING ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE ISLAND OF CULEBRA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND VIEQUES. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.4 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES... 310 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER THE OUTER BANDS OF FRANCES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THESE ISLANDS BEGINNING LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE FRANCES THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...19.3 N... 59.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER PASCH |
