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| #6702 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 30.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004 ...FRANCES STRENGTHENS...CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN...ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST. EUSTATIUS AND SABA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE WILL LIKELY UPGRADE THIS WATCH TO A WARNING LATER TODAY. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OF ST. THOMAS...ST JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ST. CROIX. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES... 355 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER THE OUTER BANDS OF FRANCES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THESE ISLANDS IN A FEW HOURS. REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.5 N... 60.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER PASCH |
