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#6730 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:01 PM 30.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004 ...FRANCES CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN...ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST. EUSTATIUS AND SABA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE WILL LIKELY UPGRADE THIS WATCH TO A WARNING LATER TODAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA ...VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OF ST. THOMAS...ST JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ST. CROIX. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TONIGHT. AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES ...305 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER... THE OUTER BANDS OF FRANCES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THESE ISLANDS IN A FEW HOURS. REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REMAINED NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 180 MILES...290 KM. THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS ESTIMATE THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO 945 MB...27.91 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES. REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...19.6 N... 60.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART |