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| #6767 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:44 AM 31.Aug.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST TUE AUG 31 2004 ...CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE FRANCES PASSING NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN...ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA...GUADELOUPE...AND ALSO FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OF ST. THOMAS...ST. JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN... ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. CROIX...AND FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM MANZANILLO BAY EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED EARLY TUESDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ST. MARTIN IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER...THE OUTER BANDS OF FRANCES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THESE ISLANDS TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...19.8 N... 62.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 951 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN |
