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| #6790 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 31.Aug.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 0900Z TUE AUG 31 2004 AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD ISLANDS...ST MAARTEN...ANGUILLA...ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA... GUADELOPUPE...AND ALSO FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA... VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OF ST. THOMAS...ST. JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN... ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. CROIX...AND FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM MANZANILLO BAY EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 62.8W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 60NW. 50 KT....... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT.......150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..275NE 170SE 170SW 275NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 62.8W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 62.1W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 20.4N 65.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.3N 67.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.2N 70.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.2N 72.3W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.0N 75.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 26.5N 78.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 28.5N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 62.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
