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| #6955 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 01.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 0900Z WED SEP 01 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS... WHICH INCLUDES ACKLINS...CROOKED...INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA AND RAGGED ISLANDS...AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES CAT...EXUMAS...LONG ISLANDS...RUM CAY AND SAN SALVADOR. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA GORDA WESTWARD TO MANZANILLO BAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 68.5W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT.......120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT.......160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..275NE 160SE 160SW 275NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 68.5W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 67.9W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.0N 70.6W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.2N 72.9W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 55SE 45SW 60NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 24.3N 74.8W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.5N 76.6W MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.0N 79.5W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT. 50 KT...120NE 110SE 90SW 110NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 120SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 28.5N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 31.0N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 68.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
