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| #704274 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 21.Jul.2014) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014 2100 UTC MON JUL 21 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 43.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.9N 45.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.3N 48.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.8N 51.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.4N 54.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 43.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
