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| #707367 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 03.Aug.2014) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS * THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 72.6W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 72.6W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 72.1W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 24.3N 73.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 27.4N 74.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.7N 73.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.7N 71.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.5N 64.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 44.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 47.5N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 72.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
