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#712850 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:04 AM 25.Aug.2014) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 0900 UTC MON AUG 25 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 72.8W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 72.8W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 72.9W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.2N 72.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 120SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.8N 71.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.3N 70.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.5N 70.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.2N 66.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 140SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 40.5N 53.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 48.5N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 72.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |