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| #712976 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 PM 25.Aug.2014) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 500 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 ...CRISTOBAL MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 72.5W ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NE OF SAN SALVADOR ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY...AND PASS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES... 335 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 993 MB...29.33 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. MEDIA REPORTS INDICATE THAT FLOODING HAS OCCURRED ON MAYAGUANA ISLAND AND ALSO IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
