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#713502 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 28.Aug.2014) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014 500 AM AST THU AUG 28 2014 ...CRISTOBAL EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC BETWEEN BERMUDA AND NOVA SCOTIA TODAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.6N 67.8W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM NW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST. CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WILL RAPIDLY MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC WELL AWAY FROM BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND PASS WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA AND PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO LONG ISLAND...AND WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |