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#717782 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 15.Sep.2014) TCMAT1 HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014 1500 UTC MON SEP 15 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 55.5W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......150NE 100SE 80SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 55.5W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 55.1W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 28.6N 56.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.5N 57.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.8N 56.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.4N 54.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 40.0N 45.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 160SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.5N 38.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N 34.5W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 55.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |