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#717840 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 PM 15.Sep.2014)
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 56.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 56.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 56.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.5N 57.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.6N 57.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.0N 55.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 36.8N 52.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.6N 43.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 40.5N 37.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N 33.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 56.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI