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| #723594 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:02 AM 12.Oct.2014) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 200 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2014 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.7N 64.8W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL PASS NEAR BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA LATER THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FAY IS EXPECTED TO BE ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH...107 KM/H WAS RECENTLY RECORDED AT COMMISSIONERS POINT ON BERMUDA. A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH...72 KM/H WAS RECENTLY OBSERVED AT THE BERMUDA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER BERMUDA THROUGH THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. RAINFALL...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS BERMUDA. SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY FAY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-FACING SHORES OF BERMUDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS |
