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#723842 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 AM 13.Oct.2014) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 0900 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 55.3W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 220SE 270SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 55.3W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 56.6W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 34.3N 51.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 90SE 30SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 33.7N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.7N 43.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 32.1N 39.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 32.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 55.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS |