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| #723909 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 13.Oct.2014) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014 1500 UTC MON OCT 13 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 52.2W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 25 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 180SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..170NE 200SE 360SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 52.2W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 53.4W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.7N 48.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 220SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.9N 44.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 32.2N 40.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 0SE 180SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.8N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.0N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 52.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
