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| #724369 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 14.Oct.2014) TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GONZALO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 66.0W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 66.0W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 65.6W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.5N 67.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 24.0N 68.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N 68.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 27.2N 68.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.0N 65.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 39.9N 60.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 49.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 66.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
