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| #724452 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 PM 14.Oct.2014) TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 66.6W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 25SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 70SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 66.6W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 66.2W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.4N 67.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.9N 68.5W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.3N 68.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.5N 67.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 34.7N 64.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 45.1N 56.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 52.5N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 66.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
