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| #724686 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:12 PM 15.Oct.2014) TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 68.7W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 165SE 165SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 68.7W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 68.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 25.8N 68.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.1N 68.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 30.7N 66.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 130SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.8N 64.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 40NW. 34 KT...190NE 170SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 43.8N 57.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 40NW. 34 KT...200NE 220SE 200SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 55.0N 17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 68.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
