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| #725203 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 18.Oct.2014) TCMAT3 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014 0900 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR... * ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 63.2W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......130NE 150SE 110SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 320SE 220SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 63.2W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 63.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 38.2N 60.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 44.2N 54.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 100SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 210SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 49.7N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 150SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 270SE 180SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 53.0N 31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 320SE 320SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 56.0N 3.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 270SE 420SW 480NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 63.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
