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| #726264 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:02 PM 22.Oct.2014) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092014 700 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2014 ...SMALL DEPRESSION NEARING THE COAST OF CAMPECHE... ...COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.1N 91.2W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE ASHORE ALONG THE COAST OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A REMNANT TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY AS IT MOVES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH A MAXIMUM OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
