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| #7342 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 03.Sep.2004) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IVAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092004 0300Z SAT SEP 04 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 35.8W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 125SE 125SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 35.8W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 35.0W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 9.2N 38.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 50SE 50SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 9.4N 41.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.2N 44.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.5N 53.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 14.5N 59.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 16.5N 64.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.1N 35.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
