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| #7450 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 04.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 2100Z SAT SEP 04 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND BAHAMA...ABACO...BIMIMI AND THE BERRY ISLANDS. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z... THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO ST. MARKS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...ON THE WEST COAST...FROM ST. MARKS SOUTHWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE PENNISULA TO JUST SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST...AND FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF ST. MARKS TO PANAMA CITY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 79.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB EYE DIAMETER 60 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 65NW. 50 KT.......130NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..350NE 180SE 180SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 79.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 79.2W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.2N 80.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 65NW. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 27.8N 81.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...125NE 75SE 25SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 29.0N 84.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 30.5N 86.0W...MOVING INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 32.5N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 35.7N 88.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 41.0N 85.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 79.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA |
