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| #7511 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 04.Sep.2004) TCMAT1 HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004 0300Z SUN SEP 05 2004 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND BAHAMA...ABACO...BIMIMI AND THE BERRY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...ON THE WEST COAST...FROM ST. MARKS SOUTHWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE PENNISULA TO JUST SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST...AND FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM WEST OF ST. MARKS TO PANAMA CITY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 79.7W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 45 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 75NW. 50 KT.......120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 125SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 175SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 79.7W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 79.5W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 27.3N 80.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...175NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 28.3N 82.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 29.5N 84.1W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.7N 85.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 50SE 50SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 33.2N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 36.0N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 40.5N 84.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 79.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA |
