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#796337 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 18.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 500 PM AST TUE AUG 18 2015 ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2015 ATLANTIC SEASON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.9N 37.5W ABOUT 1595 MI...2565 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 10.9 North, longitude 37.5 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A motion toward the west is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to become a hurricane by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |