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#797247 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 21.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 1100 PM AST FRI AUG 21 2015 ...DANNY WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... ...CONTINUED WEAKENING EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 49.8W ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands should monitor the progress of Danny. Tropical storm watches may be required for portions of the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands on Saturday. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 49.8 West. Danny is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). An increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days, with a turn toward the west forecast Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday as it approaches the Leeward Islands. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |