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| #797625 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:35 AM 23.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 1100 AM AST SUN AUG 23 2015 ...DANNY CONTINUES TOWARD THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 57.3W ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM E OF GUADELOUPE ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF ANTIGUA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A tropical storm watch has been issued for Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The government of France has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch for Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * Puerto Rico * Vieques * Culebra * U.S. Virgin Islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected, in this case within the next 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 57.3 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands late tonight or early Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical-storm-force winds are expected within portions of the warning area by late tonight. RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
