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| #797793 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 PM 23.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANNY ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 1100 PM AST SUN AUG 23 2015 ...DANNY APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 59.8W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM E OF DOMINICA ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Watch for Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin Islands has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 59.8 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will move near or over the southern Leeward Islands late tonight or early Monday, and into the northeastern Caribbean Sea on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to become a tropical depression on Monday, and become a remnant low Monday night or Tuesday. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) to the northeast of the center. The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area overnight and early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible elsewhere over the Leeward Islands from Guadeloupe northward overnight. RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |
