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#797820 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:53 AM 24.Aug.2015) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 200 AM AST MON AUG 24 2015 ...OUTER RAINBANDS SPREADING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 60.3W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ENE OF DOMINICA ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM ESE OF GUADELOUPE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 60.3 West. Danny is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and a westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Danny will move across the southern Leeward Islands this morning, and into the northeastern Caribbean Sea by this afternoon and evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to become a tropical depression later today, and become a remnant low tonight or on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible elsewhere over the Leeward Islands through this morning from Guadeloupe northward. RAINFALL: Danny is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain over the Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico through Tuesday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart |